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ALVENTURES

Commodity Futures Trading
MARKET REACTIVITY SYSTEM

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Astute traders know that PROFITABILITY does not come from a sound methodology alone. No technical trading system is always right. It takes a combination of methodology, money management and psychology. All three of these areas are covered in Al's books. The keys to money management; the stop loss points and suggested position size, are also built into the software.

HOW WELL DOES THIS WORK? For an arbitrarily selected 90-day period, Al took five different commodities representing cross section of markets; and using the same time period for all five (not selecting a time where each one was the most profitable) he stepped through a trade-by-trade process as directed by the system. The detailed description of the unfolding of these trades is given in Chapter 5 of Advanced Cycle Trading; so you can follow for yourself as the indicators guide the making of the trades. The resulting gains for the five commodities, translated here for trading just one contract per signal, are:

	Net Profit
Copper	$12,697
Cotton	$4,818
Euro$	$14,124
Live Hogs	$2,529
Wheat	$4,800

TOTAL

$38,968

These amazing profits result from the combination of the excellent timing of trades and the unique strategy used in computing the "stop-loss" point at which to exit trades that went the wrong way.*

The system provided excellent results in 1998 as shown in the overall profits chart on the Home page. Shown below is the contribution to that account made by trades in lean hog contracts. One of the interesting points made here is that the ratio of number of wins to losses is not the important measure of a trading system. It is the size of the average winning trade vs the average losing trade.

This series of trades had an equal number of winning and losing trades. Using the risk management built into the sytem, the four losses were kept very small.

Another example is the excellent results in the wheat market.

The results are quite compelling*. The true potential of this system is appreciated when you realize that it can be applied to commodities or stocks, and that it is independent of price/time interval; i.e., it can be applied to weekly, daily, or intra-day data series.

"I have traded the Market Reactivity Indicator in limited markets with great success, and after spending many thousands of dollars on market related media, consider it THE best trading tool available at any price." Charles Ferrel, Trader

NOW YOU CAN USE THESE POWERFUL TOOLS WITH SOFTWARE THAT YOU PROBABLY ALREADY HAVE!

The Market Reactivity software is available for use in Omega Research SUPERCHARTS or TRADESTATION, or in spreadsheet format for LOTUS 1-2-3 or EXCEL. (Click on software name for ordering information)

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*Note that results achieved in simulated trading do not necessarily represent actual results that could be achieved.